Australia · change since last month · published monthly

October 2026 compared with September 2026

-39 points vs September 2026

▼Cooler than September 2026

Security took up less room in the news, in public discussion and in what people searched for in October 2026 than in September 2026.

The colour shows movement only: how Australia's overall temperature changed from one month to the next, on the same −50 to +50 scale as the Ligue's world map. Australia is only ever compared with itself, never with another country.

What is driving the reading

Three sources feed the thermometer. Each one is measured for October 2026 and compared with its own usual level, then described in the same words used everywhere on this page — warmer than usual, about normal, or cooler than usual — and weighted into the overall temperature further down the page.

Behind the number

None of these examples decides the reading, and none of them is chosen by hand. The number is computed from the whole volume of data collected — hundreds of thousands of items a month — and what follows is a window onto what that data contained. Each panel states exactly how its items were picked and which period they cover — and each of those sentences is generated from the rule that was actually used, not written alongside it.
In the news
How these were chosen. The most serious incidents in the news collected for Australia in October 2026, the published month, ranked by the same severity weight the score itself uses — an assault or a killing counts far more than an investigation or a protest — and de-duplicated, so repeated reports of one incident appear once. Where severity ties, the incident more outlets carried comes first, then the more recent one, and no two come from the same day. These are the 8 highest of 2748 distinct incidents. Each line is assembled automatically from the news record's own fields, so the wording is the source's, not an editor's.
What people discussed
  • 2026-10-25
    They absolutely ARE dangerous. One bit me in 2024 and I almost lost my leg. Had to have a tennis ball size abscess removed, and daily dressing changes for 3 mon
  • 2026-10-24
    This is completely outrageous This young man has shown himself to be reckless and dangerous, whose actions, whether intentional or not, led to the death of an
  • 2026-10-22
    I think my post last week about Uber/Didi drivers being shit must have gotten around, because 10 minutes ago I almost got hit by one. Long story short, there's
  • 2026-10-21
    Parent living in squalor - what to do? Does anyone know what the potential options are for elderly parents making poor choices and endangering themselves by liv
  • 2026-10-10
    Experienced sexual harassment on public transport today and completely froze. I genuinely cannot believe what happened to me recently. I was sitting on a tram
  • 2026-10-04
    My mother was made homeless because it wasn't safe to stay in her home (public housing) after being beaten by her neighbour. Suffice to say, I'm familiar with t
How these were chosen. The 6 days on which safety came up most in public discussion for Australia in October 2026, the published month, each measured against its own recent normal — the previous 30 days. One of the days in that period rose at least one standard deviation above that normal. Against each day is the single post that pushed it hardest — the one that read as most unsafe once weighted by its upvotes — quoted as written and trimmed to fit. No post is selected by a person.
What the coverage was about
Violent crime 59%
Protest and unrest 22%
Organised crime 10%
Cybercrime 6%
Theft and burglary 4%
How this was measured. Every security theme the news monitor tagged in coverage about Australia in October 2026, counted and shown as a share of that total. This is a breakdown of what was being covered, not of how hot it was: a large share means the topic dominates the coverage, not that it is above normal.
Security reports, day by day busier normal quieter
+50% normal −50% Thu 1 Oct 2026: 154 security events, normal 152 (+1%) — within the normal range of a normal ThursdayFri 2 Oct 2026: 135 security events, normal 135 (0%) — within the normal range of a normal FridaySat 3 Oct 2026: 45 security events, normal 59 (−23%) — quieter than a normal SaturdaySun 4 Oct 2026: 56 security events, normal 65 (−14%) — quieter than a normal SundayMon 5 Oct 2026: 100 security events, normal 106 (−6%) — within the normal range of a normal MondayTue 6 Oct 2026: 136 security events, normal 136 (0%) — within the normal range of a normal TuesdayWed 7 Oct 2026: 182 security events, normal 133 (+37%) — busier than a normal WednesdayThu 8 Oct 2026: 229 security events, normal 158 (+45%) — busier than a normal ThursdayFri 9 Oct 2026: 137 security events, normal 138 (0%) — within the normal range of a normal FridaySat 10 Oct 2026: 67 security events, normal 60 (+13%) — within the normal range of a normal SaturdaySun 11 Oct 2026: 61 security events, normal 64 (−4%) — within the normal range of a normal SundayMon 12 Oct 2026: 152 security events, normal 106 (+44%) — busier than a normal MondayTue 13 Oct 2026: 132 security events, normal 144 (−8%) — within the normal range of a normal TuesdayWed 14 Oct 2026: 175 security events, normal 138 (+27%) — busier than a normal WednesdayThu 15 Oct 2026: 184 security events, normal 163 (+13%) — busier than a normal ThursdayFri 16 Oct 2026: 120 security events, normal 141 (−15%) — quieter than a normal FridaySat 17 Oct 2026: 120 security events, normal 59 (+103%) — busier than a normal SaturdaySun 18 Oct 2026: 36 security events, normal 64 (−43%) — quieter than a normal SundayMon 19 Oct 2026: 196 security events, normal 106 (+84%) — busier than a normal MondayTue 20 Oct 2026: 223 security events, normal 143 (+56%) — busier than a normal TuesdayWed 21 Oct 2026: 202 security events, normal 144 (+41%) — busier than a normal WednesdayThu 22 Oct 2026: 139 security events, normal 162 (−14%) — quieter than a normal ThursdayFri 23 Oct 2026: 188 security events, normal 134 (+41%) — busier than a normal FridaySat 24 Oct 2026: 40 security events, normal 63 (−36%) — quieter than a normal SaturdaySun 25 Oct 2026: 40 security events, normal 62 (−35%) — quieter than a normal SundayMon 26 Oct 2026: 120 security events, normal 118 (+2%) — within the normal range of a normal MondayTue 27 Oct 2026: 91 security events, normal 146 (−38%) — quieter than a normal TuesdayWed 28 Oct 2026: 132 security events, normal 154 (−14%) — quieter than a normal WednesdayThu 29 Oct 2026: 116 security events, normal 161 (−28%) — quieter than a normal ThursdayFri 30 Oct 2026: 139 security events, normal 135 (+3%) — within the normal range of a normal FridaySat 31 Oct 2026: 49 security events, normal 62 (−22%) — within the normal range of a normal Saturday 1 Oct8 Oct15 Oct22 Oct29 Oct
How this was measured. Each bar is one day of October 2026. It compares the security events recorded in Australia's news with a normal day for that weekday, the average of the same weekday over the previous 8 weeks, so the weekend dip in news does not look like a quiet day. Coloured days were clearly busier or quieter than normal; grey days were within the normal range. This chart describes news coverage only and is not part of the reading.
Tone of the coverage, month by month ▲ Harsher than usual
harsher normal milder April 2026: tone −4% against Australia's normal — about as usualMay 2026: tone −2% against Australia's normal — about as usualJune 2026: tone +1% against Australia's normal — about as usualJuly 2026: tone −8% against Australia's normal — milder than usualAugust 2026: tone +1% against Australia's normal — about as usualSeptember 2026: tone 0% against Australia's normal — about as usualOctober 2026: tone +8% against Australia's normal — harsher than usual Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep+8% Oct
How this was measured. The average tone of the security articles about the country, each month compared with Australia's normal over the same months the headline number uses. Bars above the line mean harsher (more negative) language than usual, bars below it milder. The label is the gap from normal in per cent. A month is called harsher or milder only when it is more than half a standard deviation away from its usual month-to-month variation. This chart describes news coverage only and is not part of the reading.
What people searched for
How this was measured. Google search interest in crime and safety topics in Australia in October 2026, the published month. Every topic is compared with its own usual level over the months before it — the same rule, and the same month, as the headline number — so "warmer than usual" means more searching than is normal for that topic here, not more than some other topic or some other country.

Understanding Australia's overall temperature

The map above shows how Australia changed this month compared to September — whether security sentiment warmed or cooled.

The thermometer below shows how Australia compares to its normal level, giving context for whether the country is running warm, normal, or cool overall.

Australia · Security Temperature · published monthly

October 2026

+1 vs normal Stable

Compared with Australia's own normal month — not with last month, and not with any other country.

  • 0 is normal for Australia. The thermometer compares this month with how Australia usually looks — not with other places.
  • Above 0 means security is taking up more room than usual in the news, in public discussion and in what people search for. Below 0 means less.
  • The published number changes once a month. The data behind it is collected every day.

Month by month

Every point is one published month, measured against Australia's own normal. The dashed line at 0 is that normal level.

How "normal" is set. Each month is compared with Australia's typical level over the months before it. For October 2026 that is 8 months, February to September 2026. Collection began in February 2026, so earlier months were compared with fewer (April 2026 with 2); the normal keeps growing until it spans the 12 months before each reading.

GTT — Global Threat Thermometer · International Security Ligue · Australia pilot. Last update 2026-11-05.